Mobile Phone Shipments Will Fall In 2009, SmartPhone Demand Continues to Grow

IDC predicts worldwide mobile phone shipments will fall 8.3% in 2009 (Cellular News). Q4 08 shipments fell 11.6%, marking the first time the holiday quarter has not recorded double digit growth in seven years.
IDC also scaled back the outlook for smartphones as a result of the industry's changing dynamics, reducing from previously stated 8.7% to 3.4% growth.
It is expected, however, that in the coming years the industry will migrate toward the converged device segment and this segment will maintain positive growth in 2009. The explosive success of Apple's iPhone and the App Store have significantly affected demand for smartphones and are defining new industry trends, with other companies including Nokia, Verizon, RIM, Microsoft launching their own mobile application stores this year.
A March ChangeWave survey of 4,292 cell phone owners confirmed a shift to smartphones, with Apple and RIM in a close race for market leadership while their competitors continue to suffer the effects of the economic downturn (Cellular News).
A 3.4% growth for the smartphone segment when the rest of the industry is experiencing negative growth is a clear indication that smartphones and mobile applications will continue to drive industry growth in the coming years.

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